Reko Diq’s Missed Opportunities: A Costly Legacy of Judicial Overreach and Mismanagement

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Editorial

For three decades, Pakistan’s mineral wealth, particularly the Reko Diq copper and gold project, has been a tantalizing source of potential revenue. Moeen Qureshi, a visionary economist and former caretaker prime minister, recognized this opportunity early on, promoting a vision that sought to attract global mining giants. His foresight led to substantial investments from international players like Barrick Gold and Antofagasta, who committed $220 million to explore Reko Diq’s vast resources.

However, the path to realizing Reko Diq’s potential has been marred by a series of missteps, most notably stemming from judicial overreach and political interference. In 2011, a joint venture between Barrick Gold and Antofagasta, known as Tethyan Copper Company (TCC), sought a mining lease, only to face vehement opposition from both the PPP government and a Supreme Court led by Chief Justice Iftikhar Muhammad Chaudhry. Their rejection of the TCC’s application not only halted the project but also severely damaged Pakistan’s reputation in the international business community.

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The consequences were catastrophic. In 2019, the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID) ruled in favor of TCC, imposing a staggering $5.8 billion fine on Pakistan. This was compounded by the $3.5 billion in annual losses the country suffered from 2013 to 2019 in unrealized production, culminating in a monumental $30 billion economic disaster. In a historic first, Pakistan managed to turn what could have been a hundred-billion-dollar asset into a massive financial liability.

The 2022 diplomatic settlement, spearheaded by a two-star army general, marked a crucial turning point, reopening the door for Reko Diq’s potential redevelopment. However, for Pakistan to truly capitalize on this resource, a drastic shift in strategy is essential. A government-centric approach has proven ineffective, and the project must embrace a model of partial privatization. By listing Reko Diq on the stock exchange, Pakistan can enhance transparency, attract further investment, and minimize political interference. The country must now focus on sound financial and commercial decision-making to secure its future and avoid repeating past mistakes.

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