The High Cost of a Tactical Win: The Consequences of Syria’s Fragile Victory

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Editorial

The US and its allies may have achieved a tactical victory in Syria, but the consequences of their actions are far-reaching and troubling. The fall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime, a result of a relentless opposition push backed by US dollars, arms, and intelligence, may have been celebrated as a strategic success. However, in reality, Syria’s descent into chaos mirrors the devastating consequences seen in Iraq and Libya—both countries where US involvement ultimately led to sectarian conflict, the rise of terrorist organizations, and a state of perpetual instability.

The Syrian civil war has been a prime example of how Middle Eastern conflicts are driven by patronage and external support. While the US and its allies funded extremist factions such as al-Nusra Front, a group linked to al-Qaeda, their only concern was meeting immediate strategic objectives, even if it meant supporting groups that indulged in unspeakable violence. As the conflict progressed, the region became a battleground for competing powers, with Syria sitting at the crossroads of anti-Israeli and anti-GCC alliances.

Assad’s survival in the war was largely due to support from Iran, Hezbollah, and Russia, which kept him in power despite intense opposition. However, recent developments suggest that external powers, particularly the US and its allies, have once again shifted the balance. The lightning-fast advance of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) across Syria, a group with links to al-Qaeda, raises uncomfortable questions about the true nature of the support behind it. The assault is likely fueled by weapons and resources from America, potentially making Syria another example of Western powers enabling the rise of sectarian extremism for short-term political gains.

The irony is that the US and its Israeli allies, who once viewed Assad as a major obstacle, are now celebrating the weakening of Iran’s influence in the region. However, the long-term cost of this “victory” will be a Syria torn apart by sectarian violence, with its people trapped in the same nightmare experienced by Iraqis, Libyans, and Afghans in the wake of Western intervention. The short-lived joy of defeating a common enemy will soon give way to the grim reality of what true freedom in such a fractured region looks like.

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