The War That Will Not Wait

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Editorial

Pakistan cannot mediate peace in the Middle East while conducting a war on its western border. That contradiction was on full display last Sunday, when Islamabad hosted regional powers to discuss de-escalation in the Iran conflict at the very moment its artillery and Afghanistan’s were exchanging fire across the Kunar-Bajaur frontier. The optics were poor. The substance was worse.

The latest exchange of heavy weapons came only days after a fragile pause in what has become the most serious Pakistan-Afghanistan military confrontation in years. Both sides blame the other, as both sides always do. Kabul claims Pakistani fire killed civilians, most of them women and children. Islamabad says it only responded to shelling from across the border and denies targeting any civilian site. Neither account can be independently verified. What can be verified is that the ceasefire, brokered with the assistance of Turkey, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia, is fraying. Pakistan ended its side of the pause last week. Afghanistan has not officially confirmed whether it considers the agreement still standing.

The deeper problem runs beneath the tactical exchanges. Pakistan accuses the Afghan Taliban of sheltering militant networks responsible for attacks on Pakistani soil. Kabul dismisses this entirely, calling the militancy a domestic Pakistani problem. That fundamental disagreement has not moved an inch despite the fighting, the diplomacy, and the Eid ceasefire. A peace jirga is scheduled, but negotiations between parties who reject each other’s core premise have a poor record of producing durable outcomes.

Pakistan is now attempting to simultaneously manage a border war, a domestic economic crisis, and an emerging diplomatic role in a Middle Eastern conflict. That is too many fronts for a state whose institutional depth is thinner than its ambitions suggest. Stabilising the western border is not optional. It is the precondition for everything else.

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